Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.004071 0.004278 0.004490 0.004724 0.004975 0.005238 0.005533
2025-10-05 0.003729 0.004037 0.004366 0.004745 0.005172 0.005640 0.006194
2025-10-12 0.003542 0.003912 0.004319 0.004802 0.005366 0.006005 0.006792
2025-10-19 0.003349 0.003756 0.004214 0.004771 0.005437 0.006214 0.007203
2025-10-26 0.003195 0.003630 0.004128 0.004746 0.005503 0.006409 0.007594
2025-11-02 0.003059 0.003513 0.004042 0.004712 0.005547 0.006570 0.007943
2025-11-09 0.002999 0.003482 0.004055 0.004792 0.005730 0.006907 0.008531
2025-11-16 0.002888 0.003384 0.003978 0.004754 0.005759 0.007045 0.008859
2025-11-23 0.002803 0.003312 0.003929 0.004746 0.005823 0.007226 0.009251
2025-11-30 0.002698 0.003209 0.003836 0.004677 0.005801 0.007288 0.009478
2025-12-07 0.002606 0.003121 0.003758 0.004621 0.005790 0.007362 0.009722
2025-12-14 0.002542 0.003064 0.003717 0.004613 0.005842 0.007522 0.010095
2025-12-21 0.002424 0.002936 0.003581 0.004472 0.005708 0.007418 0.010075
2025-12-28 0.002378 0.002900 0.003563 0.004490 0.005794 0.007629 0.010542
2026-01-04 0.002350 0.002884 0.003571 0.004543 0.005931 0.007917 0.011145
2026-01-11 0.002291 0.002827 0.003522 0.004514 0.005946 0.008027 0.011471
2026-01-18 0.002238 0.002777 0.003479 0.004492 0.005970 0.008149 0.011822
2026-01-25 0.002185 0.002723 0.003430 0.004459 0.005978 0.008244 0.012132
2026-02-01 0.002172 0.002724 0.003456 0.004533 0.006145 0.008594 0.012895
2026-02-08 0.002123 0.002673 0.003408 0.004499 0.006146 0.008681 0.013209
2026-02-15 0.002085 0.002638 0.003381 0.004491 0.006188 0.008835 0.013649
2026-02-22 0.002030 0.002577 0.003316 0.004428 0.006140 0.008839 0.013817
2026-03-01 0.001981 0.002523 0.003260 0.004376 0.006108 0.008866 0.014030